Stock Market Game – Yalicoo

The market volatility continues

January 28, 2008

Wall Street ended a volatile week on Friday with a sharp decline, following two days of stunning gains leading investors to turn cautious and cash in some of their winnings. While U.S. markets were closed Monday for Martin Luther King Day, stocks in Asia and Europe plunged due to fears of a steep slowdown in the U.S. economy.

Overseas, European indexes such as Britain's FTSE index, Germany's DAX and France's CAC fell a few percentage points as well. Japan's Nikkei stock average jumped about 4 percent after falling sharply earlier in the week. The Hong Kong's Hang Seng index also surged almost 7 percent by Friday’s closing time.

To decrease sell-off in the U.S. over recession fears, the Fed stepped in before the opening bell Tuesday with an emergency interest rate cut of 0.75%. The Fed is widely expected to cut rates again by a half-point next week. Despite these wide cuts, it is still hard to forecast where the stock market is headed to in the next few weeks.

Yalicoo competitions summary

After the portfolios of most competitors declined during Tuesday's session, many of the players took advantage of the market’s volatility and picked winning stocks that boosted their returns. BanderaS (14.99%), the winner of the weekly competition, was among these successful traders. One of BanderaS's rocket picks was CompuCredit Corporation (CCRT), which offers credit products to sub-prime consumers. The stock surged 45% in only 4 days, possibly due to substantial buys by a relatively large institutional buyer.

Another interesting winner from BanderaS's portfolio is the personal navigation device maker Garmin Ltd. (GRMN), which rose sharply after an Oppenheimer & Co. analyst upgraded the company, saying its products remain popular and that the threats of weaker sales and greater competition are already included in the stock price.

Chanon (19.72%) opened a large gap between himself and all the other players in the monthly competition as the game entered its final week. Amazingly, chanon has succeeded to “stay dry” between the market drops and sold 18 out of his 22 stocks during the week with a positive gain. chanon's current portfolio has no stocks; suggesting that chanon is preparing for a possible drop when the market opens on Monday and maybe new winners.

There is only one week left in January; mathgeek (11.54%), 12345 (8.11%) and a few others are still in the game and have a chance to improve their ranks on the scoreboard.

The situation in the quarterly competition is totally different as the spread between the leaders is not large. The current scoreboard is populated by SANMAN (9.27%), chanon (7.91%) – the monthly competition leader, and Lindsey (5.67%). If we consider the relatively small gap between the leaders, combined with this week's expected market volatility, I wouldn’t be surprised to see new faces on next week's scoreboard. Those who participate in the quarterly and weekly competitions should follow the competition closely for new opportunities.

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